- It’s good to have a bias. You can have a fundamental opinion of where prices are heading and still be a technical trader. A bias can be very sensible. For example, when the Fed cut interest rates to under 2 percent, it removed a lot of profit potential from a long Treasury note trade. The potential profit fell to less than the likely risk of a trade. On the other hand, going short Treasury notes doesn’t guarantee a profit because prices can drift sideways for a long time, but you’ll want to trade only small positions long Treasury futures.
- Try to distinguish between a bias and wishful thinking. The stock market is at very low levels, but a bias to the upside is wishful thinking. It may happen, but prices could still go lower. It’s not the same as interest rates, where they are approaching a bottom of zero. Hopefully, the stock market will never get to the point where it is so low that it can’t go lower.
- Are you still confused about the use of limit and stop when you’re placing an order?
A stop order is used in the following situations:
• When you are long and you are selling at a lower price (usually to exit the trade).
• When you are short and you are buying at a higher price.
You will want to buy at a higher price at the point where the trend turns up. Remember that a stop becomes a market order when the price is touched. You must use the word stop in your order. A limit order is used in the following situations:
• When you are long and you are selling at a higher price (to take profits).
• When you are short and you are buying at a lower price.
• When you a trying to buy at a support level or sell at a resistance level. - You can combine an MOC order with a price, but all conditions must be met to get an execution.
- If you’re long IBM at $52 and want to exit if prices close lower, but below a specific price, then you enter SELL IBM 48 STOP MOC. You will be executed at the closing price if it is anywhere below $48. It is unlikely you will get $48 as your price, but you won’t be executed if prices dropped to $46 during the trading session, but closed at $49.
- If you have no position and you want to buy IBM on an upward breakout above $55 but only if it closes above $55, then if IBM is at 52, BUY IBM 55 STOP MOC.
- You wouldn’t want to use this order to take profits on your IBM position because you would prefer to get a higher price anytime during the day. If you wait for the close, prices may have fallen back from their highs. If you are long IBM at $48, you would want to place the order SELL IBM 53. That gives you a $5 profit if IBM trades at $53 or higher during the day.
Saturday, September 22, 2007
TRADING GAME TIPS
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